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Is this the end of the rebound on the German DAX?
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Is this the end of the rebound on the German DAX?

created Marcin KiepasApril 16 2020

On Thursday, the German stock market went up most of the day, rebounding yesterday's strong sell-off. However, in the last trading hours, stock market bulls were afraid of very poor macroeconomic data from the United States (the number of new unemployed increased by over 5,2 million, and the Philadelphia Fed index plunged into long-term lows), and the DAX index began to show initial increases.


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A clear brake on the DAX

The situation on the German market is very interesting. Basically just before the settlement. This is clearly seen on the DE30 chart quoted on the Tickmill platform. Currently, the H4 chart of this instrument is struggling to stay above the 4-week uptrend line (currently it is at 10285 points). This is a real battle because earlier the same chart realized the upward move resulting from breaking up after breaking out from consolidation in the range 9361,90-10077,70.

dax chart

DE30 chart (CFD per index DAX 30), interval H4. Source: MT4 Tickmill.

If the above picture is supplemented with yesterday's retreat DE30 just below the resistance level formed by 50 percent. Fibo lifting of the declines from February 20 - March 19, this will break the aforementioned upward trend line, and will also confirm the end of the upward correction, which took the form of a zigzag abc. In this situation, the generated supply signal will be so strong that not only will the thesis about the end of the upward rebound of the panic sell-off from a month ago be likely, but also the one that the market will open up a path towards the March lows (7961,35 points). ).

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About the Author
Marcin Kiepas
Tickmill UK analyst. Financial markets analyst with 20-year experience, publishing in Polish financial media. He specializes in the foreign exchange market, Polish stock market and macroeconomic data. In his analyzes he combines technical and fundamental analysis. Looking for medium-term trends, examining the impact of macroeconomic data, central banks and geopolitical events on the financial markets.
2 Comments
  • Mariusz Karelko
    19 April 2020 at 16: 39

    I would not bet that DAX will break out in the following days. Germany will catch shortness of breath now.

    • Raphael FX
      20 April 2020 at 16: 01

      I also. today you can see the first signs of market weakness, but who knows ... recently they like to surprise

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