The ECB changes the inflation target, but EUR / USD looks at something else
European Central Bank (ECB) revised its strategy and set the inflation target at 2%, departing from the earlier one "Below, but close to 2%". The bank continues to treat interest rates like the main tool of monetary policyand other tools will only be used in exceptional circumstances. The ECB will start to include climate protection in its policy. The Bank further recognized that while HICP inflation is an appropriate measure of inflation, it will also include housing costs over time.
Eurodollar is recovering from losses
The change in the inflation target, which could suggest the bankers' agreement to temporarily exceed it, and thus in theory postpones the tightening of the monetary policy, was calmly accepted by the currency market. The EUR / USD exchange rate, which has been rising since the morning, correcting the recent drops to 3-month lows, remains close to the daily highs. It seems that this factor will not affect the eurodollar for now. Investors pay more attention to the falling yields of US bonds or the corrective sentiment on the stock markets.
The situation on the EUR / USD daily chart indicates a significant oversold as the main source of the observed upward correction, which increased the quotation above 1,18. However, something else is also visible there. Namely, the upward divergence of the chart with the RSI indicator. It may even be an introduction to a trend change and an end to the last wave of declines.